π May 2026 ODTE Performance Summary
One thing Iβve always believed:
β‘οΈ If youβre serious about trading, you need DATA β not feelings.
Thatβs why I started tracking every SPX spread setup from my daily GEX write-ups:
β
Winners
β
Losers
β
Ultra-safe vs balanced setups
β
Distance OTM
β
Dealer positioning
β
VIX confirmation
β
Long gamma vs short gamma environments
The goal was simple:
π‘ Find the highest probability spreads designed to expire worthless.
Hereβs what the data is showing so far this month:
π Ultra-Safe Spreads (3β5 Delta)
π₯ Highest consistency
π₯ Best performance in long gamma environments
π₯ Strongest probability of expiring worthless
π₯ Best when VIX stays suppressed and dealers remain in control
βοΈ Balanced Spreads (6β10 Delta)
βοΈ Higher premium potential
βοΈ Still strong probability setups
β οΈ More sensitive to momentum shifts and volatility expansion
π Biggest takeaway:
The BEST results continue happening when:
β
Dealers are LONG gamma
β
SPX stays above gamma flip / volatility trigger
β
VIX remains below major walls
β
Price stays inside dealer control zones
β
We trade the EDGES β not the middle
π¨ Most losses came from:
β Momentum/trend expansion days
β Breaks below key support / gamma flip
β Higher delta setups too close to price
β Volatility expansion environments
π What this tracker is really proving:
Patience + structure + probabilities matter more than chasing premium.
The edge isnβt prediction.
The edge is positioning OUTSIDE the danger zones where dealers are most likely to defend price.
π Going forward, Iβll continue tracking:
β’ Safe vs balanced setups
β’ PCS vs CCS performance
β’ Win rates
β’ Market structure conditions
β’ Dealer behavior
β’ VIX confirmation
β’ End-of-day results
Because transparency matters.
We track the wins AND the losses here. ππ₯
π ORBAQUEEN TRUTH:
βLet the dealers work for you.
Trade the edges. Respect the triggers.β


How much premium can you get on 5 delta? Do you trade more contracts?